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Harnessing the Power of Data From Our Bodies –Toward Personalized Preventive Medicine Invited Talk 8 th  Latin American Seminar on Science and Health Journalism Institute of the Americas on UCSD Campus La Jolla, CA November 1, 2010 Dr. Larry Smarr Director, California Institute for Telecommunications and Information Technology Harry E. Gruber Professor,  Dept. of Computer Science and Engineering Jacobs School of Engineering, UCSD Follow me on Twitter: lsmarr
Leading Causes of Preventable Deaths in  the United States in the Year 2000 Mokdad AH, Marks JS, Stroup DF, Gerberding JL (March 2004).  "Actual causes of death in the United States, 2000". JAMA 291 (10): 1238–45. doi:10.1001/jama.291.10.1238. PMID 15010446. www.csdp.org/research/1238.pdf.  1/3 of Deaths
During the 2000s, The Fraction of the Population  That is Overweight or Obese Has Greatly Increased Source: Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System, CDC (*BMI ≥30, or  ~ 30 lbs. overweight  for 5’ 4” person) 2000 2009
Calit2 Has Been Had a Vision of  “the Digital Transformation of Health” for a Decade ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],www.bodymedia.com The Content of This Slide from 2001 Larry Smarr  Calit2 Talk on Digitally Enabled Genomic Medicine
Nine Years Later I Am Recording My Metabolic Self 7 Week Ave:  2550 Calories Burned/Day  1:31 hr Physical Activity/Day (>3 METs) 7755 Steps/Day (~3.9 Miles) Measure Quantity and Quality of Sleep-- 7 Week Ave:  6:55 hrs with 81% Efficiency www.bodymedia.com
Over the Next Decade and Explosion of Health Sensing: Center for Wireless &Population Health Systems Psychological & Social sensors Biological sensors Diet & Physical Activity sensors Air quality (particulate, ozone, etc) Temperature, GPS, Sound, Video, Other devices & embedded sensors BP, Resp, HR, Blood (e.g. glucose, electrolytes, pharmacological, hormone), Transdermal, Implants Mood, Social network (peers/family) Attention, voice analysis Physical activity (PAEE, type), sedentary Posture/orientation, diet intake (photo/bar code) Wearable Environmental sensors Sensor data + Clinical & Personal Health Record Data +  Ecological data on  determinants of health + Analysis & comparison of  parameters in near-real time  (normative and ipsative)  + Sufficient population-level data to comprehend trends,  model them and predict health outcomes + Feedback in near real-time via SMS, audio, haptic or other cues for behavior or  change in Rx device = True Preventive Medicine! Sensors embedded in the environment Geocoded data on safety, location of recreation, food, hazards, etc
CitiSense –New NSF Grant for Fine-Grained Environmental Sensing Using Cell Phones  Seacoast Sci. 4oz 30 compounds CitiSense Team PI: Bill Griswold Ingolf Krueger Tajana Simunic Rosing Sanjoy Dasgupta Hovav Shacham Kevin Patrick C/A L S W F CitiSense contribute distribute sense “ display” discover retrieve EPA Intel MSP
Lifechips--Merging Two Major Industries:  Microelectronic Chips & Life Sciences LifeChips:  the merging of two major industries, the microelectronic chip industry with the life science industry LifeChips medical devices 65 UCI Faculty
The Future of Health Care Will be Dominated  by a Vast Expansion in Human Health Data ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Source: SDSC
Measuring the State of Your Body So You Can “Tune” Your Body to Have a Healthier Longer Life www.xconomy.com/san-diego/2010/05/12/how-internet-pioneer-larry-smarr-lost-20-pounds-by-becoming-a-quantified-self/ 2000 2010 in 2000 I Arrived in San Diego After 20 Years in the Midwest and Began to Measure and Modify My Body Age 52 Age 62
Goal: Lose Weight by Changing What &How Much I Ate, While Increasing Aerobic Exercise Gradually Moving to Zone Diet and  Regular Exercise Back on Track,  Fewer Calories More Exercise Exercise is Elliptical and Walking Reached Desired Weight Blood Pressure 134/73 Pulse 55 Resting Pulse Lowered to 45 Losing Diet Discipline
Goal: Use Strength Training  to Raise My Rest Metabolic Rate Source: Terry Martin, LS Trainer 3x
Goal: Reduce My Body Fat Through  Nutrition and Exercise I Lost More Than 1/3 of My Original Body Fat Fat Loss: Chest First, Then Thighs, & Finally Abs Most of Loss in First 3-4 Years, Then Very Slow Measurements by Trainer Terry Martin % Body Fat Drops From 21% TO 15% Higher Body Fat Can Increase the Risk of Heart Disease, Diabetes, and Cancer
Goals: Reduce Calories, Sugar, and Sodium Intake,  While Increasing Fiber Me Compared to Average American Male Over 60 Also, Average American Drinks 526 12-oz Sodas per Year--Me Zero Data source: American Dietetic Assn
Goal: Quantify Your Food Intake So You Can “Tune” Your Glucose/Insulin System and Lower Inflammation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Computed Meal Average Over 12 Days When at Home for Maximum Accuracy Measure All Food and Drink Components,  Then Use USDA Lookup to Compute Each Item
Goal: Change Your Cholesterol Levels to Lower LDL, Raise HDL, While Lowering Total LDL -50% HDL +40% Total -20% Raising “Good” HDL Seems Most Difficult Began Statin Total LDL HDL Recommended Levels
Goal: Lower Triglycerides and Cholesterol Ratios  to Reduce Future Risk of Diabetes and Heart Disease ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],“ The Ratio of Triglycerides to  HDL Cholesterol (TG/HDL-C) is the Single Most Powerful  Lipid Predictor of  Extensive Coronary Disease.” [Clinics 2008; v.64: 427-432]
Goal: Improve My Omega-3 Scores To Protect Against Future Heart Disease If your Omega-3 Score  is at least 7.2 and your DHA Score is  at least 4.5 , you are 32% less likely to develop heart disease If your EPA+DHA Score is  at least 4.6 , you are 70% less likely of dying from a heart attack.  Ref: Based on Lemaitre et al., n-3 Polyunsaturated fatty acids, fatal ischemic heart disease, and nonfatal myocardial infarction in older adults: the Cardiovascular Health Study. Am. J. Clin. Nutr. 77:319-325 (2003).  Graphics from www.anne-marie.ca/ratiokits/ = My Values Tested by yourfuturehealth.com
Goal: Lower Ratio of Arachidonic Acid to EPA  to Reduce Pro-Inflammatory Potential of Your Cells Range Source: Barry Sears My Tests by www.yourfuturehealth.com Chronically Ill American Average “Healthy” American Ideal Range My Range “ Silent Inflammation” I take 6 Fish Oil Pills Per Day
Goal: Quantitatively Monitor the State of Your Inflammation and Immune System  hsCRP Should Be <100 “ Come Back When You Have a Symptom” Invisible Episodic Colon Immune Response hsCRP from  Blood Tests Others from  Stool Tests by  yourfuturehealth.com Lactorferrin Should Be <73 25x Normal 15x Normal Future Challenge: Danger of Persistent hsCRP Inflammation and Destabilized Microbiome  ? Symptom:  Acute Diverticulitis Antibiotics
Blood Tests I Do Quarterly to Annually In Addition to hsCRP, Lipids, Minerals, & Omegas  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Goal:  Determine the Structural State of  Each Internal Organ and Major Body Subsystems 3D Full Body Scan  mm Accuracy Small Tumors Organ Damage Plaque Sites Virtual Colonoscopy 64 Slice  Heart CT Scan Plaque Sites Valve Anomalies Carotid Ultrasound Imaging Plaque Thickness Physical  Colonoscopy Detect Polyps Colon Disease Stress Test with  Echocariogram Heart Fitness Structural Weakness
Goal: Measure Your Individual Genetic Predispositions to Future Health Risks You: 1.7% Avg. 3.0% You: 22.4% Avg. 11.4% You: 14.7% Avg. 23.7%
However, SNP Indications of Adverse Drug Side Effects May Be Quite Useful Increased Risk Greatly Increased Risk I Would Definitely Not Take Either!
The Cost for Full Human Genome Sequencing  is Exponentially Decreasing  http://blogs.forbes.com/sciencebiz/2010/06/03/your-genome-is-coming/
Should You Keep Your Health Data Private  or Share to Gain the Most Knowledge?
Where I Believe We are Headed: Predictive, Personalized, Preventive, & Participatory Medicine www.newsweek.com/2009/06/26/a-doctor-s-vision-of-the-future-of-medicine.html
Organ-Specific Blood Proteins Will Make the Blood a Window into Health and Disease ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Key Point: Changes in The Levels Of  Organ-Specific Markers Can Assess Virtually All Disease Challenges for a Particular Organ Source: Lee Hood, ISB
You Can Download This Presentation  at lsmarr.calit2.net

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Harnessing the Power of Data From Our Bodies – Toward Personalized Preventive Medicine

  • 1. Harnessing the Power of Data From Our Bodies –Toward Personalized Preventive Medicine Invited Talk 8 th Latin American Seminar on Science and Health Journalism Institute of the Americas on UCSD Campus La Jolla, CA November 1, 2010 Dr. Larry Smarr Director, California Institute for Telecommunications and Information Technology Harry E. Gruber Professor, Dept. of Computer Science and Engineering Jacobs School of Engineering, UCSD Follow me on Twitter: lsmarr
  • 2. Leading Causes of Preventable Deaths in the United States in the Year 2000 Mokdad AH, Marks JS, Stroup DF, Gerberding JL (March 2004). &quot;Actual causes of death in the United States, 2000&quot;. JAMA 291 (10): 1238–45. doi:10.1001/jama.291.10.1238. PMID 15010446. www.csdp.org/research/1238.pdf. 1/3 of Deaths
  • 3. During the 2000s, The Fraction of the Population That is Overweight or Obese Has Greatly Increased Source: Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System, CDC (*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person) 2000 2009
  • 4.
  • 5. Nine Years Later I Am Recording My Metabolic Self 7 Week Ave: 2550 Calories Burned/Day 1:31 hr Physical Activity/Day (>3 METs) 7755 Steps/Day (~3.9 Miles) Measure Quantity and Quality of Sleep-- 7 Week Ave: 6:55 hrs with 81% Efficiency www.bodymedia.com
  • 6. Over the Next Decade and Explosion of Health Sensing: Center for Wireless &Population Health Systems Psychological & Social sensors Biological sensors Diet & Physical Activity sensors Air quality (particulate, ozone, etc) Temperature, GPS, Sound, Video, Other devices & embedded sensors BP, Resp, HR, Blood (e.g. glucose, electrolytes, pharmacological, hormone), Transdermal, Implants Mood, Social network (peers/family) Attention, voice analysis Physical activity (PAEE, type), sedentary Posture/orientation, diet intake (photo/bar code) Wearable Environmental sensors Sensor data + Clinical & Personal Health Record Data + Ecological data on determinants of health + Analysis & comparison of parameters in near-real time (normative and ipsative) + Sufficient population-level data to comprehend trends, model them and predict health outcomes + Feedback in near real-time via SMS, audio, haptic or other cues for behavior or change in Rx device = True Preventive Medicine! Sensors embedded in the environment Geocoded data on safety, location of recreation, food, hazards, etc
  • 7. CitiSense –New NSF Grant for Fine-Grained Environmental Sensing Using Cell Phones Seacoast Sci. 4oz 30 compounds CitiSense Team PI: Bill Griswold Ingolf Krueger Tajana Simunic Rosing Sanjoy Dasgupta Hovav Shacham Kevin Patrick C/A L S W F CitiSense contribute distribute sense “ display” discover retrieve EPA Intel MSP
  • 8. Lifechips--Merging Two Major Industries: Microelectronic Chips & Life Sciences LifeChips: the merging of two major industries, the microelectronic chip industry with the life science industry LifeChips medical devices 65 UCI Faculty
  • 9.
  • 10. Measuring the State of Your Body So You Can “Tune” Your Body to Have a Healthier Longer Life www.xconomy.com/san-diego/2010/05/12/how-internet-pioneer-larry-smarr-lost-20-pounds-by-becoming-a-quantified-self/ 2000 2010 in 2000 I Arrived in San Diego After 20 Years in the Midwest and Began to Measure and Modify My Body Age 52 Age 62
  • 11. Goal: Lose Weight by Changing What &How Much I Ate, While Increasing Aerobic Exercise Gradually Moving to Zone Diet and Regular Exercise Back on Track, Fewer Calories More Exercise Exercise is Elliptical and Walking Reached Desired Weight Blood Pressure 134/73 Pulse 55 Resting Pulse Lowered to 45 Losing Diet Discipline
  • 12. Goal: Use Strength Training to Raise My Rest Metabolic Rate Source: Terry Martin, LS Trainer 3x
  • 13. Goal: Reduce My Body Fat Through Nutrition and Exercise I Lost More Than 1/3 of My Original Body Fat Fat Loss: Chest First, Then Thighs, & Finally Abs Most of Loss in First 3-4 Years, Then Very Slow Measurements by Trainer Terry Martin % Body Fat Drops From 21% TO 15% Higher Body Fat Can Increase the Risk of Heart Disease, Diabetes, and Cancer
  • 14. Goals: Reduce Calories, Sugar, and Sodium Intake, While Increasing Fiber Me Compared to Average American Male Over 60 Also, Average American Drinks 526 12-oz Sodas per Year--Me Zero Data source: American Dietetic Assn
  • 15.
  • 16. Goal: Change Your Cholesterol Levels to Lower LDL, Raise HDL, While Lowering Total LDL -50% HDL +40% Total -20% Raising “Good” HDL Seems Most Difficult Began Statin Total LDL HDL Recommended Levels
  • 17.
  • 18. Goal: Improve My Omega-3 Scores To Protect Against Future Heart Disease If your Omega-3 Score is at least 7.2 and your DHA Score is at least 4.5 , you are 32% less likely to develop heart disease If your EPA+DHA Score is at least 4.6 , you are 70% less likely of dying from a heart attack. Ref: Based on Lemaitre et al., n-3 Polyunsaturated fatty acids, fatal ischemic heart disease, and nonfatal myocardial infarction in older adults: the Cardiovascular Health Study. Am. J. Clin. Nutr. 77:319-325 (2003). Graphics from www.anne-marie.ca/ratiokits/ = My Values Tested by yourfuturehealth.com
  • 19. Goal: Lower Ratio of Arachidonic Acid to EPA to Reduce Pro-Inflammatory Potential of Your Cells Range Source: Barry Sears My Tests by www.yourfuturehealth.com Chronically Ill American Average “Healthy” American Ideal Range My Range “ Silent Inflammation” I take 6 Fish Oil Pills Per Day
  • 20. Goal: Quantitatively Monitor the State of Your Inflammation and Immune System hsCRP Should Be <100 “ Come Back When You Have a Symptom” Invisible Episodic Colon Immune Response hsCRP from Blood Tests Others from Stool Tests by yourfuturehealth.com Lactorferrin Should Be <73 25x Normal 15x Normal Future Challenge: Danger of Persistent hsCRP Inflammation and Destabilized Microbiome ? Symptom: Acute Diverticulitis Antibiotics
  • 21.
  • 22. Goal: Determine the Structural State of Each Internal Organ and Major Body Subsystems 3D Full Body Scan mm Accuracy Small Tumors Organ Damage Plaque Sites Virtual Colonoscopy 64 Slice Heart CT Scan Plaque Sites Valve Anomalies Carotid Ultrasound Imaging Plaque Thickness Physical Colonoscopy Detect Polyps Colon Disease Stress Test with Echocariogram Heart Fitness Structural Weakness
  • 23. Goal: Measure Your Individual Genetic Predispositions to Future Health Risks You: 1.7% Avg. 3.0% You: 22.4% Avg. 11.4% You: 14.7% Avg. 23.7%
  • 24. However, SNP Indications of Adverse Drug Side Effects May Be Quite Useful Increased Risk Greatly Increased Risk I Would Definitely Not Take Either!
  • 25. The Cost for Full Human Genome Sequencing is Exponentially Decreasing http://blogs.forbes.com/sciencebiz/2010/06/03/your-genome-is-coming/
  • 26. Should You Keep Your Health Data Private or Share to Gain the Most Knowledge?
  • 27. Where I Believe We are Headed: Predictive, Personalized, Preventive, & Participatory Medicine www.newsweek.com/2009/06/26/a-doctor-s-vision-of-the-future-of-medicine.html
  • 28.
  • 29. You Can Download This Presentation at lsmarr.calit2.net